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The same intellectual rigor requirement is not a suf cient condition for an obvious reason. If the eld itself brings little intellectual rigor to the subject, this factor will provide scant gatekeeping protection against bad science or imsy expertise. In this way it is similar to the general acceptance standard. If the eld is occupied by those who uncritically accept the science or technique, surveying their opinion will provide almost no information about the reliability of the evidence. The Kumho Tire Court itself stressed this danger: Nor . . . does the presence of Daubert s general acceptance factor help show that an expert s testimony is reliable where the discipline itself lacks reliability. In the same way, where the discipline lacks intellectual rigor, nding that an expert has applied the same intellectual rigor will not show that that testimony is reliable. Therefore, failing the same intellectual rigor test should usually lead to exclusion, but passing that test should not lead to automatic admission. The courts must still determine whether the amount of rigor employed by the eld is rigorous enough.

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De nition 212 A transmittance consists of the transition probability multiplied by the MGF of the waiting time distribution The Appendix contains a brief review of properties of MGFs In Figure 21, probabilities and MGFs of the waiting time distributions are shown as branch transmittances The transition from initial diagnosis to the advanced stage I A has transmittance pI A MI A (s) The transition probability is pI A , the probability of transition to an advanced stage of cancer, A, beginning with initial diagnosis, I The waiting time distribution in state I until transition to A is represented by its MGF, MI A (s) We use the branch transmittances of a owgraph model to solve for the distribution of the waiting time of interest De nition 213 An overall transmittance is the transmittance of the entire owgraph from the initial to the end state.

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When the potential reward is great enough, then attackers can be very sophisticated. Following on the lessons learned from military intelligence gathering, they can use eavesdropping equipment to gain access to the plaintext signals, thus circumventing the decryption problem entirely. For instance, every amateur spy knows that the signals from computer screens can easily be picked up and decoded by a man in a van parked outside the building. In reality it is considerably less easy than that, but it is a fact that the military do project their secret computing data by using specially designed terminals which radiate a considerably reduced amount of electronic signal., thus suggesting that the threat is real. However, if you feel your data is suf ciently valuable to warrant this

For the cancer example of Figure 21, the overall transmittance refers to the transmittance from initial diagnosis to death regardless of the cause of death The overall transmittance is a quantity that must be solved for by combining the individual transmittances according to a set of rules discussed in detail in Section 24 We use MGFs on the branches for algebraic convenience MGFs are useful for nding distributions of sums of independent random variables In engineering, systems analysis uses Laplace transforms, although it does not use probabilities or statistical distributions A MGF is a bilateral Laplace transform See the Appendix for further details The most basic element of a owgraph is the simple series system This structure is useful for modeling progressive diseases in medicine or structures in engineering In a series model, progression occurs from one state to the next state with certainty.

Several physical mechanisms which result in device failure can be modeled by the Arrhenius relationship, expressed as l T l T0 exp ! Ea 1 1 k T0 T 5:2:1

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