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The baseline data are derived from using the random entry strategy with the unmoditied standard exit strategy Mean ROA% is the average return on account over several sets of random entries; StdLh ROA% is the standard deviation of the return-on-account Mean $TRD is the average dollars-per-trade over several sets of random entries; and StdDev $TRD is the standard deviation of the dollars-per-trade Breakout models had the unique characteristic of being consistently profitable in-sample across almost every model-order combination tested Except for the volatility breakouts, these models performed much better than chance, albeit not profitably, out-of-sample; ie, the loss per trade was under $1,000, sometimes under $300 (the average loss to be expected was around $2,000 with random entries) In other words, the breakouts, taken together, were better than random.



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The added function of managing value-added services is a critical differentiator: Consider that AT&T s professional services business is now a $4 billion product line. Consider also that the true professional services firms (Deloitte, for example) are in enormous demand by telecom industry players to help them navigate their way through the stormy waters

Downloaded from Digital Engineering Library @ McGraw-Hill (www.digitalengineeringlibrary.com) Copyright 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies. All rights reserved. Any use is subject to the Terms of Use as given at the website.





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However, outof-sample, the volatility breakouts did much worse than chance: With at-open and on-stop orders, the model lost more than $5,000 per trade, as though the market s current behavior is precisely designed to make these systems costly to trade The trend-following moving average models (crossover and slope) all performed slightly better than chance in-sample: They all lost rather heavily, but the losses were almost always less than $2,000 None of the systems, however, did very well Out-of-sample, the picture was somewhat more variable, but had the same flavor: Most of the models were somewhat better than chance, and one or two were much better than chance (but still not profitable)..

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of market recovery, product positioning, competitive positioning, and value delivery. One key to success is the ascendancy of the seven-layer value chain that I described in an earlier book. Because of positive reader response, I repeat that discussion here in a somewhat amended form. In the early 1960s, American psychologist Abraham Maslow proposed his now-famous five-layer hierarchy of basic human needs. In it, Maslow ranked the basic human needs: physiological demands; security and safety concerns; love and feelings of belonging; competence, prestige, and esteem; self-fulfillment; and finally, curiosity and the need to understand the surrounding world. Maslow concluded that these basic requirements had to be fulfilled before the higher level, more cognitive demands could be fulfilled. Interestingly, there is a similarly structured hierarchy-of-needs model within the domain of telecommunications, particularly as it relates to the activities of network designers, service providers, and manufacturers of components and network devices. This hierarchy, comprises a sevenlayer model with these identified layers, starting from the bottommost layer: features; functions; benefits; applications; services; solutions; and finally, at the top, value. It s interesting to observe that all of these terms appear in marketing, sales, and technical documentation, and all are important. However, the priority they are given and the qualities they each represent deserve attention. The dictionary defines the seven terms as follows:

The signature of the INavigationContentLoader.EndLoad method is as follows: LoadResult EndLoad(IAsyncResult asyncResult) The EndLoad method returns the System.Windows.Navigation.LoadResult object providing access to the loaded content or to a redirection URI. Usually this method is called by the navigation system from the userCallback delegate passed to the BeginLoad method (see the signature of the BeginLoad method) to retrieve the loaded content or a redirection URI. So the argument passed to the userCallback method is passed to the EndLoad method. You can also pass the userCallback parameter of the BeginLoad method as a null reference to call the EndLoad value and pass the returned value of the BeginLoad method. Here, the EndLoad method will block until the operation completes.

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Feature: A prominent or distinctive aspect, quality, or characteristic Function: The action for which (something) is particularly fitted or employed Benefit: Something that promotes or enhances well-being; an advantage Application: The act of putting something to a special use or purpose Service: An act of assistance or benefit to another or others Solution: The method or process of solving a problem Value: Worth in usefulness or importance to the possessor; utility or merit

There are two ways to approach the use of this seven-layer network value hierarchy. One is from the bottom up, starting with features and

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Downloaded from Digital Engineering Library @ McGraw-Hill (www.digitalengineeringlibrary.com) Copyright 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies. All rights reserved. Any use is subject to the Terms of Use as given at the website.

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