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hang onto money-losing stocks not because they are bullish, but because they loathe the thought of selling at a loss So, if a stock begins to rally, they will sell into the rally once they realize they can recoup their original investments Once these wishy-washy sellers are wrung out of the market, a second oor might emerge, and the genuinely bullish investors will hopefully step in, sending the stock up again, forming the nal leg of the W Technical analysts would see the W formation as a sign that this security is ready to rise further, or break to the upside, as they might say Trading volume is considered another key variable for technical investors to consider, since it speaks to the conviction that other investors have about current trends in the market An upward rise in a stock, in conjunction with greater-than-usual trading volume, would indicate the strength of attitude among traders An upward rise met with tepid trading volume might indicate that a certain trend is not strong enough to form a trend Another tool that technical investors often rely on is whether a stock is trading above or below its historic moving average Some rely on a 50-day moving average, while others rely on 100-day or 200-day moving averages Calculating these moving averages is simple: Add up the closing prices of the S&P 500, for example, for the past 50 days and divide by 50 Many nancial Web sites that o er charting capabilities, such wwwbigchartscom, will indicate a stock s moving average for you Typically, it is considered a bearish sign for a security if its price falls below 50- or 100-day moving averages Conversely, it s considered bullish when a stock breaks out above its historic moving averages So, continuing with our car shopping analogy, a technical investor will focus less on the engine and brakes of the car and more on the emotional attachment that other would-be buyers may have on the vehicle The technical investor realizes that while earnings and sales growth drive the health of a company over the long term, the psychological feelings that other investors have or don t have for that vehicle will in uence how the market set its price too Various characteristics that separate fundamental and technical investors are listed in the above gure It can be said that fundamental investors care about pro ts, pro t margins, and sales trends, because at the end of the day earnings correlate with stock price The technical analyst, on the other hand, cares about the supply-and-demand relationship of an investment Technicians believe that a stock is like any other product in demand There are a limited number of shares for that stock that oat in the open market So depending on how strong or weak demand is for that limited supply, you can gauge where the stock price will move Bottom line: Fundamental analysis is a logical exercise that concentrates on the head Technical analysis is the study of emotions that gauges the heart.



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